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Neste Oil

  NES1V FH

Porvoo maintenance completed; eyes on Singapore
Updates
06/08/2010Target Change
30/07/2010Earnings/sales releasesQ2 Results - 3 items to highlight: 1/ Hi...
26/05/2010Earnings/sales releasesQ1 10 results update. Following Q1 10...
05/02/2010Earnings/sales releasesQ4 Results – Poor results as expected ...
30/10/2009Earnings/sales releasesQ3 results – Better than expected com...
30/07/2009LatestQ2 results – Comparable operating pr...
28/04/2009LatestQ1 results: Neste reports net profit d...
Summary Key Data
  12/08A
12/09A
12/10E
12/11E
12/12E
AlphaValue P/E (x) 10.4 ns
Dividend yield (%) 4.69 2.30
EV/EBITDA (x) 6.36 16.1
AlphaValue EPS (€) 1.63 0.21
Dividend (€) 0.80 0.25
Sales (€M) 15,043 9,636
EBITDA (€M) 849 288
Attributable net profit (€M) 97.0 221
ROE (after tax) (%) 4.22 10.1
ROCE (%) 3.02 5.02
Gearing (%) 40.5 66.1
Next Div. Indic € 0.25 payment
Target
Price (€) 11.0
Market Cap (€M) 2,805
Perf. 1W: 0.92 %
Perf. 1M: -6.00 %
Perf. 3M: -8.67 %
Perf Ytd: -11.8 %
Rating
  • Strong momentum corresponding to a continuous and overall positive moving average trend confirmed by volumes
  • Relatively good momentum corresponding to a positively-oriented moving average, but offset by an overbought pattern or lack of confirmation from volumes
  • Relatively unfavorable momentum with a neutral or negative moving average trend, but offset by an oversold pattern or lack of confirmation from volumes
  • Strongly negative momentum corresponding to a continuous and overall negative moving average trend confirmed by volumes
VALUE
RISK
GOVERNANCE
RANKING
Best
Worst
Businesses & Trends
Neste is a Finnish refining&marketing company focused on premium-quality, low-emission traffic fuel that aims to be the world’s lea... Read More
Money Making
Refined product demand growth is unlikely to offset further refining capacity arriving in the market in 2010, putting continued pressu... Read More
Valuation
Based on our DCF model, we believe there is attractive growth-led upside post-2012 despite the high capex needed for the group's ... Read More
Analyst: Alexandre Andlauer
Concepts
Business concepts
  • Asset based
  • Government power plays
  • Marginal capacity play
  • Structural overcapacity
Investment Concepts
  • Management change
  • Regulation shock
Story Trigger
  • Execution hiccup
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