Deutsche Wohnen

Note: This is a daily stock update and the information stands true as of 19/12/24, 09:00 CET.

Company Update:
We release a detailed paper this morning regarding the fairness (or lack thereof) of the Vonovia bid on Deutsche Wohnen. We have gone through the 133 p fairness assessment report by the expert and the 271p contract report. Both documents primarily use a discounted cash flow method, excluding asset value. Certain conceptual choices significantly increase Vonovia’s valuation while decreasing Deutsche Wohnen’s. We suspect the proposed exchange ratio is inappropriate.

Expert Opinion:
In all, we disagree with the expert choices for a series of reasons which are detailed in the paper. Both documents conclude that Vonovia’s 2021-22 investment of €18.3bn at €53 per share is now valued at €8.2bn (approximately €25 per share) which is strangely convenient. If you own any Deutsche Wohnen shares we strongly suggest you go through the paper and book a call with our (very) seasoned analyst on the sector.


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