AKER BP
Note: This is a daily stock update and the information stands true as of 15/07/25, 09:00 CET.
Company Update:
Expert Opinion:
AKER BP's short-term momentum is likely to remain adverse for the time being. Stock had a strong performance since we initiated coverage and we see too little upside at this stage to justify a positive rating. There are probably better plays in the sector at this stage.
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Company Update:
Aker BP delivered weak Q2 2025 results, posting a net loss of $324m (EPS: -0.51, first loss since 2020 oil price crash) versus a profit of $316m in Q1, primarily driven by $717m in impairments tied to downward revisions in oil and gas price assumptions.
The earnings miss highlights the company’s vulnerability to commodity price softness. While the upward revision in 2025 production guidance (400–420 kboepd vs. 390–420 prior) offers some support, this is counterbalanced by a capex hike to $6.5bn (from $5.5–6.0bn), adding pressure to cash returns.
With realised liquids and gas prices falling 11% and 19% qoq respectively, and free cash flow compression on the horizon, we expect negative market reactions today, particularly given the stretched dividend commitment ($0.63/sh quarterly) in a deteriorating pricing environment.
Expert Opinion:
AKER BP's short-term momentum is likely to remain adverse for the time being. Stock had a strong performance since we initiated coverage and we see too little upside at this stage to justify a positive rating. There are probably better plays in the sector at this stage.
For daily updates, subscribe to our newsletter and for detailed information, reach out to us at sales@alphavalue.eu
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